{"id":14588,"date":"2025-12-23T09:19:47","date_gmt":"2025-12-23T12:19:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/?p=14588"},"modified":"2025-12-23T09:44:28","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T12:44:28","slug":"la-soja-bajo-presionen-chicago-retrocede-usd-36-y-el-foco-se-desplaza-a-la-cosecha-record-en-sudamerica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/la-soja-bajo-presionen-chicago-retrocede-usd-36-y-el-foco-se-desplaza-a-la-cosecha-record-en-sudamerica\/","title":{"rendered":"La soja bajo presi\u00f3nen Chicago retrocede y el foco se desplaza a la cosecha r\u00e9cord en Sudam\u00e9rica"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-audio\"><audio controls src=\"https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Andres-Contatore.mp3\"><\/audio><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El mercado internacional de soja atraviesa una fase de debilidad estructural. Tras haber superado la barrera de los <strong>USD 420 por tonelada<\/strong> (USD 11,50\/bushel) en noviembre, los precios han sufrido una correcci\u00f3n profunda, acumulando una ca\u00edda superior a los <strong>USD 36 por tonelada<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Este retroceso marca el fin del entusiasmo generado por los titulares provenientes de China, confirmando que el reciente incremento de precios se comport\u00f3 m\u00e1s como un \u00abrally clim\u00e1tico\u00bb de corta duraci\u00f3n que como un cambio de tendencia s\u00f3lido.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A pesar de los anuncios de compras por parte de China a EE. UU. \u2014que suman entre 7,5 y 8 millones de toneladas\u2014, el impacto en los precios ha sido limitado. Los analistas sugieren que estas adquisiciones responden m\u00e1s a <strong>decisiones pol\u00edticas<\/strong> que a necesidades reales de suministro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Log\u00edstica:<\/strong> Gran parte de los embarques pendientes se concentrar\u00edan en el segundo trimestre de 2026, diluyendo el impacto inmediato en el mercado f\u00edsico.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Stocks Internos:<\/strong> China est\u00e1 acelerando subastas de sus reservas estatales para liberar espacio log\u00edstico, lo que incrementa la disponibilidad de harina y aceite, restando presi\u00f3n de compra al grano internacional.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Brasil:<\/strong> En <strong>Mato Grosso<\/strong>, se espera que la cosecha comience entre Navidad y A\u00f1o Nuevo. Esto garantiza una fuerte entrada de soja brasile\u00f1a al mercado global desde los primeros d\u00edas de enero.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Paraguay:<\/strong> Presenta un contraste con un retraso de 15 d\u00edas, estimando el inicio de su cosecha hacia el 20 de enero.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Expectativas 2026:<\/strong> Se especula que los productores estadounidenses podr\u00edan sumar entre <strong>1,2 y 1,6 millones de hect\u00e1reas<\/strong> adicionales de soja el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o, lo que, de concretarse con un clima normal, inflar\u00eda los stocks finales globales a niveles de saturaci\u00f3n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>El sentimiento del mercado ha pasado de la especulaci\u00f3n a la cautela defensiva por diversas razones:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Migraci\u00f3n de contratos:<\/strong> Los operadores est\u00e1n trasladando masivamente sus posiciones del contrato de enero 2026 al de <strong>marzo 2026<\/strong>, que ahora es el m\u00e1s negociado en Chicago.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Incertidumbre en EE. UU.:<\/strong> Las dudas sobre la futura pol\u00edtica de biocombustibles y energ\u00edas renovables, sumadas a la tensa relaci\u00f3n comercial con China, generan un entorno \u00abpoco amigable\u00bb para los precios.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El mercado internacional de soja atraviesa una fase de debilidad estructural. Tras haber superado la barrera de los USD 420 por tonelada (USD 11,50\/bushel) en noviembre, los precios han sufrido una correcci\u00f3n profunda, acumulando una ca\u00edda superior a los USD 36 por tonelada. Este retroceso marca el fin del entusiasmo generado por los titulares provenientes [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":14590,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[49],"class_list":["post-14588","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agricultura","tag-e","entry","has-media"],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ph6d42e61f38390958d5db3dd72b5ca57f132447821e8f52beefa68bc963ea896bd7502751acf63f0348210befa2550622827fd7617ffa0bd3958932d8a016d292.jpg",790,200,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ph6d42e61f38390958d5db3dd72b5ca57f132447821e8f52beefa68bc963ea896bd7502751acf63f0348210befa2550622827fd7617ffa0bd3958932d8a016d292-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ph6d42e61f38390958d5db3dd72b5ca57f132447821e8f52beefa68bc963ea896bd7502751acf63f0348210befa2550622827fd7617ffa0bd3958932d8a016d292-300x76.jpg",300,76,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ph6d42e61f38390958d5db3dd72b5ca57f132447821e8f52beefa68bc963ea896bd7502751acf63f0348210befa2550622827fd7617ffa0bd3958932d8a016d292-768x194.jpg",768,194,true],"large":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ph6d42e61f38390958d5db3dd72b5ca57f132447821e8f52beefa68bc963ea896bd7502751acf63f0348210befa2550622827fd7617ffa0bd3958932d8a016d292.jpg",790,200,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ph6d42e61f38390958d5db3dd72b5ca57f132447821e8f52beefa68bc963ea896bd7502751acf63f0348210befa2550622827fd7617ffa0bd3958932d8a016d292.jpg",790,200,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/upload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