{"id":19427,"date":"2026-10-01T22:10:20","date_gmt":"2026-10-02T01:10:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/?p=19427"},"modified":"2026-10-01T22:11:25","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T01:11:25","slug":"los-vaivenes-de-la-soja-imponen-un-escenario-de-alta-volatilidad-para-la-nueva-campana","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/los-vaivenes-de-la-soja-imponen-un-escenario-de-alta-volatilidad-para-la-nueva-campana\/","title":{"rendered":"Los vaivenes de la soja imponen un escenario de alta volatilidad para la nueva campa\u00f1a"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Agust\u00edn Gleier, analista de Zafras &amp; Mercados<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-audio\"><audio controls src=\"https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Agus-Geier.mp3\"><\/audio><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">El mercado agr\u00edcola internacional atraviesa un momento de <strong>marcado suspenso y comportamientos divergentes<\/strong>. En las \u00faltimas ruedas de la Bolsa de Chicago y las principales plazas locales, la soja ha vuelto a quedar en el centro de la escena debido a constantes vaivenes en su cotizaci\u00f3n. Factores climatol\u00f3gicos, la presi\u00f3n estacional por el ingreso de la cosecha norteamericana y los movimientos especulativos de los fondos de inversi\u00f3n act\u00faan como los principales motores de esta inestabilidad. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">A nivel global, la posici\u00f3n de <strong>soja para enero cotiza en torno a los US$ 478,0 por tonelada<\/strong>, mostrando retrocesos recientes debido al incremento de las existencias estadounidenses reportadas por el USDA. No obstante, el mediano plazo ofrece una mirada diferente: tras tocar m\u00ednimos preocupantes en meses anteriores, las posiciones de la nueva zafra mostraron una firme recuperaci\u00f3n hasta estabilizarse en el eje de los <strong>US$ 365 por tonelada para los contratos a cosecha<\/strong> (con referencias regionales en mercados como el uruguayo rondando los <strong>US$ 450 por tonelada<\/strong> para la exportaci\u00f3n). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Los agricultores de EE.UU. avanzan a paso firme en su recolecci\u00f3n y la molienda local ha mostrado ca\u00eddas t\u00e9cnicas. Adem\u00e1s, la demanda sigue fuertemente concentrada, donde <strong>China absorbe cerca del 75% de los embarques globales<\/strong>. Cualquier moderaci\u00f3n en sus compras frena los impulsos alcistas. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">En contraste, el trigo registr\u00f3 un salto notable cotizando en <strong>US$ 250,9 la tonelada<\/strong> en Chicago gracias a licitaciones internacionales clave (como la de Arabia Saudita). El ma\u00edz, por su parte, logr\u00f3 estabilizarse en el eje de los <strong>US$ 197,7<\/strong> tras absorber el impacto de los altos stocks en el hemisferio norte. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Agust\u00edn Gleier, analista de Zafras &amp; Mercados El mercado agr\u00edcola internacional atraviesa un momento de marcado suspenso y comportamientos divergentes. En las \u00faltimas ruedas de la Bolsa de Chicago y las principales plazas locales, la soja ha vuelto a quedar en el centro de la escena debido a constantes vaivenes en su cotizaci\u00f3n. Factores climatol\u00f3gicos, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":19429,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","ocean_front_end_style_editor":"no","ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[38],"tags":[51],"class_list":["post-19427","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mercados","tag-b2","entry","has-media"],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20250805112040_soja-puerto-china.webp",880,506,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20250805112040_soja-puerto-china-150x150.webp",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20250805112040_soja-puerto-china-300x173.webp",300,173,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20250805112040_soja-puerto-china-768x442.webp",768,442,true],"large":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20250805112040_soja-puerto-china.webp",880,506,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20250805112040_soja-puerto-china.webp",880,506,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20250805112040_soja-puerto-china.webp",880,506,false],"ocean-thumb-m":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20250805112040_soja-puerto-china-600x506.webp",600,506,true],"ocean-thumb-ml":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20250805112040_soja-puerto-china-800x450.webp",800,450,true],"ocean-thumb-l":["https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20250805112040_soja-puerto-china.webp",880,506,false]},"author_info":{"info":["Agromedios"]},"category_info":"<a 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