{"id":8882,"date":"2025-01-08T17:45:55","date_gmt":"2025-01-08T17:45:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/?p=8882"},"modified":"2025-01-08T17:46:04","modified_gmt":"2025-01-08T17:46:04","slug":"el-choque-de-fuerzas-opuestas-define-el-mercado-agricola","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agromedios.com\/new\/el-choque-de-fuerzas-opuestas-define-el-mercado-agricola\/","title":{"rendered":"El choque de fuerzas opuestas define el mercado agr\u00edcola"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Para el productor es m\u00e1s necesario seguir los mercados externos para tomar decisiones de acuerdo con sus n\u00fameros sin seguir relaciones muy complejas<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Las fuerzas opuestas de la mayor oferta de soja y la menor demanda de China entraron en colisi\u00f3n en esta zafra agr\u00edcola, llevando los valores a los niveles m\u00e1s bajos de los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os, lo que replantea el escenario del negocio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En la pre pandemia y hasta el a\u00f1o pasado, China increment\u00f3 sus compras de soja en el orden de 10% anual, pero este ritmo se redujo hasta llegar a la campa\u00f1a 2024\/25 con una ca\u00edda moderada en las importaciones de la potencia asi\u00e1tica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Al tiempo que los m\u00e1rgenes est\u00e1n lejos de cerrar a nivel internacional, en esta oportunidad, \u201clos n\u00fameros de los principales pa\u00edses productores del mundo reflejan resultados magros que pueden impactar en una ca\u00edda de \u00e1rea o menor producci\u00f3n en las zafras venideras\u201d, dijo Paulina Lescano, analista sectorial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En el mediano y corto plazo, hay una posici\u00f3n dif\u00edcil y se\u00f1al\u00f3 la ausencia de \u201celementos contundentes que contrarresten los factores bajistas lo que hace que la \u201ctoma de decisiones transcurra en una forma m\u00e1s analizada para encarar este nuevo ciclo\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Con estos valores actuales para la oleaginosa, previo a la siembra en Sudam\u00e9rica la actividad transcurre sin riesgos productivos trascendentes, \u201cpero falta pasar enero y febrero para determinar la producci\u00f3n de la regi\u00f3n Mercosur. La baja de valores se puede compensar con expectativas de \u201cbuenos rindes\u201d como uno de los factores principales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La especialista sostuvo que es dif\u00edcil esperar un despegue en los valores de los productos agr\u00edcolas, ya que gravitan factores de orden geopol\u00edtico como las decisiones que pueda adoptar el gobierno de Donald Trump a partir de enero.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En este contexto, resulta \u201cimpensado hace dos a\u00f1os que con los actuales conflictos geopol\u00edticos los valores del crudo se presenten sin incrementos considerables, en s\u00edntesis, los mercados est\u00e1n \u201cmutando y se adaptan a las nuevas realidades como el uso de sustitutos y la irrupci\u00f3n de las energ\u00edas alternativas que compiten con los combustibles f\u00f3siles\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Para el productor es m\u00e1s necesario seguir los mercados externos para tomar decisiones de acuerdo con sus n\u00fameros sin seguir relaciones muy complejas Las fuerzas opuestas de la mayor oferta de soja y la menor demanda de China entraron en colisi\u00f3n en esta zafra agr\u00edcola, llevando los valores a los niveles m\u00e1s bajos de los 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